On the whole, the development prospect of China's construction machinery industry is optimistic. It is expected that it will continue to develop at a high speed of about 8-10% for another 10 to 15 years. * It should eventually stabilize at the sales level of about 200 billion. The reasons are: 1. China's construction machinery market is mainly driven by infrastructure construction and urbanization construction, while large-scale infrastructure construction will continue for a considerable period of time from the current trend. From the perspective of railway, highway, airport, port, water conservancy, energy, urban construction, housing construction, new rural construction and other development plans in the next 5 to 10 years, the construction scale and investment intensity are amazing. At present, China's urbanization level is only about 47%, and it will increase to more than 55% by 2020. By then, the urban population will reach 780 million, and about 100 million more people will enter the city, requiring 23.6 billion square meters of housing, and 580 million square meters of annual rigid demand. The number of other new roads and public facilities can be imagined. With the increase of the cost of making sense, the proportion of construction machinery will inevitably rise, so the market capacity is still quite large. 2. From the current development experience, after the large-scale infrastructure construction is basically completed, the small functional construction machinery required for road maintenance, garden operations, and small construction projects will develop rapidly with the improvement of economic level. In Europe, the sales of small excavators have long surpassed that of large excavators. So even after the large-scale construction in China is basically completed, there is still much room for the development of construction machinery. 3. The construction machinery market has great potential, and China's construction machinery has great prospects. In 2008, China's export of construction machinery reached 13.4 billion US dollars, accounting for 33% of the sales of that year. After that, despite the impact of the world financial crisis, the export fell sharply in 2009, but soon showed a strong recovery in 2010, breaking through 10 billion US dollars. China's construction machinery manufacturing scale and capacity are very large, so it is necessary to open up two markets at home and abroad. From the market point of view, although after 2009, the traditional market has shrunk. However, the market of emerging economies is still growing rapidly. The demand for construction machinery in developing countries, such as the Middle East, Latin America, Southeast Asia, Central Asia and Africa, has been growing. China's construction machinery products have an advantage in cost performance, which is in line with the developing consumption capacity. The market prospect is broad. As long as we strengthen publicity, do a good job in marketing services, it is only a matter of time to open the market. From the perspective of the industry itself, after years of rapid development, a considerable number of enterprises have the ability to expand overseas and are actively engaged in market competition. In 2010, our export rate was only 15%. If we calculate the reasonable export dependence ratio of 40-45%, there is great potential to develop foreign markets. 4. At present, the number of construction machinery in China is about 4.5 million, but if we calculate the per capita goods and land, the per capita use of construction machinery or the number of construction machinery owned per square kilometer in China is not very high, which is lower than that in general developed countries, such as Japan, Germany, the Netherlands and Denmark, which shows that there is still a lot of room for improvement in our construction mechanization. Of course, the development of the industry cannot always rise in a straight line. Affected by various factors, there will be ups and downs. The previous opinion is the general trend judgment. Although the conditions are favorable, the success depends on the support of all aspects and the great efforts of colleagues in the whole industry.
As for the development forecast for 2011, as mentioned earlier, the issuance is excellent. What is the situation throughout the year? Some factors must be fully noted: 1. The general trend of the economy in 2011 is that the world economy is expected to continue to recover and China's economy is expected to further consolidate its positive momentum. The basic orientation of macroeconomic policy in 2011 is to be proactive, prudent and flexible, mainly to implement proactive fiscal policy and prudent monetary policy. Specifically, the growth rate of credit in 2011 should be controlled at 16% - 17%, that is to say, the new loans will be controlled at 8 trillion yuan. The average GDP growth index in the "12th Five-Year Plan" is set at 7%. In 2011, China's economy will continue to maintain growth momentum. In the "Troika", consumption will have a stable growth; There are many uncertainties in external demand, and investment will still be the leading force to maintain economic growth. Other signs indicate that the investment of local governments will accelerate in 2011. 2. In 2011, the central government invested 1.4 trillion yuan to build 10 million affordable housing units to speed up the construction of affordable housing. It is expected that the scale of affordable housing construction will not be less than 500 million square meters in the future. 3. The central government decided to speed up water conservancy construction during the "12th Five-Year Plan" period. It is estimated that the average annual water conservancy investment will be between 400 billion and 500 billion yuan, an average increase of 240% over the "11th Five-Year Plan" period. Water conservancy investment will start in 2011. 4. Railway construction will continue to maintain high growth. In 2011, the completed mileage of various railways will reach 4656 kilometers, with a total investment of 545.6 billion yuan, and the investment in infrastructure will be 258-387 billion yuan. At the same time, the enthusiasm of local governments for railway investment is still expanding, and many projects need to be started ahead of schedule. For example, the railway construction plans in Zhejiang, Henan, Jiangxi, Jiangsu, Xinjiang, etc. are more than twice the current mileage. 5. Nuclear power and wind power industries are in the ascendant. At present, China's nuclear power installed capacity is 10 million kilowatts. According to the plan, the installed capacity will be 10 million kilowatts by 2020. According to the plan, the installed capacity target will reach 70-80 million kilowatts by 2020, which is 7-8 times the current. The new installed capacity will be 30 million kilowatts in five years, and the investment will reach 450 billion yuan in 10 years. China is rich in wind energy resources. It is estimated that the installed capacity of wind power in China will reach 1.3 billion kilowatts in 2015. Within 10 years, the installed capacity of wind power in China will be 10 times the current one.